Tableau added

Been in a new job for 2 months, I am very glad that I have gotten quite familiar with using Tableau.

I was told it was one of the Holy Trinity for data analyst, the other 2 being Excel VBA and SQL which I had experience with.

I just bought 1k SGD worth of Tableau shares in IG platform.

Currently the US market is soaring. So are my Uniqlo shares.

How do I get an idea of a company that has not made profit yet, but I see it as a potential?

For me, I look at the yearly sales, and market cap.

Lets say market cap is 5 billion, yearly sales is 1 billion. 

If there is no cost, PE ratio is 5. This is just a lazy way for me to get some idea.

Currently markets are soaring. 

I am always waiting for a crash to grab shares.

But no one knows when, and it has not happened for close to a decade now.

So I should buy small amounts whenever there are small chances.

But at the same time, balance so that I have a bag of money to throw when crash really comes.

Tableau actually fell more than 40% in Feb this year to around $50.

It rose to around $80, and crashed 10% few days ago.

I bought it at a OK price at around $70.

The world may be dominated by tech companies in the future, so it is better I accumulate to mitigate my fears.

Analysing REITS

At the moment, I want to increase the portion of Singapore REITs in my portfolio.

Currently, dividend yields of my portfolio is low.

REITs is different. 

To know the PE ratio, you have to exclude depreciation, and sales of asset from net income.

And I have to download their FY publication, as my broker info is less accurate.

There are many variations in financial reports.

But the best is to go directly to their income statement.

Ignore the Net Property income, as it does not consider the management salaries.

Go to income after tax, exclude depreciation,  and fair value changes.

Use Market cap to divide by the above income to get the PE value.

PE should be market cap divided by earnings and preference dividends, but I am more conservative to exclude preference dividends.

I bought Ascendas India REITs a few days ago without knowing how to evaluate the PE ratio. 

Today, I found out the PE ratio is around 18. 

Even though there is growth potential, I think I will try to dispose it tmr.

Nvidia joins the family

Added Nvidia, 1 lot (my own packet size for foreign stock), less than SGD 1k.

They are chip makers, and their chips are especially good for processing AI.

AI will only keep going up.

Nvidia is like shovels during the gold rush. The gold is data.

Comparatively to other tech companies, it is also less expensive. 

PE ratios of around 50-60+. 

Sales performance for around first 3 mths of FY is up 48%.

Net income for around first 3 mths of FY is up 2 times.

So maybe PE ratio by end of FY will be half to around 20-30 if the above persists.

And more importantly, tech stocks keep going up.
I don't want to miss the train by buying a small portion.

If market falls, I will grab more stocks. But for now, just be conservative.

Necessary rules to break

Just bought Amazon and Alphabet, and broke 2 of my rules.
But I think they are necessary, to hedge my fear of them dominating the world.
I have been waiting too long for them to drop, and they did not.
I entered, but not a big portion. Just 1k SGD each.
If they drop, I will buy more of them. I just want to own them first.

What 2 rules? One rule is to buy only when PE is equal to or less than 15.
The other rule is only enter when they are nearing the next support zone.

But for those potential world dominating brands, I can forgo the rule of PE ratio 15.
Because if they are to conquer the world, their earnings will be increasing exponentially in future.
But I will still try to stick to the latter rule, which is to buy again only when they drop to their previous support zone.

What are the companies that I think may dominate the world in the near future?
Amazon, Alphabet, Facebook, Uniqlo, Netflix

Uniqlo

Just entered a buy position for Uniqlo CFD few minutes ago.
This is the first non-Singapore and US share that I own.
For non-Singapore stocks, my purchase lots are usually 1k instead of 3k SGD.

The enter price (blue line) was higher than what I wanted, at 35k yen.
Maybe I am eager as I have not yet purchased any investment for a long time.
But between my bought price and ideal price, it was a difference of around 30 SGD.
I also bought more than I wanted to, around 1.3k rather than 1k.
But it should be ok, as the transaction fee is high, and it is better than buying less than 1k.
I will buy another portion if the price drops to the next support level which is around 28k.

Financially, not sure how certain is it, 3 mths net income is already more than net income of last yr according to the above.
PE ratio is around 53. But as this is one of the titan companies, I am not really paying too much attention to except for the technical aspect.

Technically Uniqlo is still good value.
I say that from the perspective that the highest price point was at 60k in 2015.
It is a company I personally adore, along with Amazon and Google.
Most of what I wear today when I hang out comes from them.
The values they have are also the values I like. Simple and quality.
When I go to their flagship store in 313 orchard, it is always bustling with customers.
And I often see foreigners coming to that store and buying a big pile of clothes.
I also love the way they treat their staff and also social issues (from my perception).
The way they treat their staff can be comparable to Macdonalds.
So today I am happy to have a stake in one of the titans.

O and

Continuing from the previous post, Uniqlo too.

Titans

Amazon, Google and Facebook are titans of the world.

I have not bought any due to my principles in investing.

Especially the fundamental principle of buying a company at PE ratio 15 and below.

But I need the 3 stocks to alleviate my fears that they will take over and disrupt the world in future.

And owning some of them will hedge my future when jobs may be scarce, and best jobs will likely go into tech industries.

Amazon has the power to destroy many jobs, and if the company that I am working at gets destroyed by them, at least I am slightly part of it. Same for Google.

But not to get too carried away, do note that they may not be forever.
There are tech companies in China that may be even larger, more intelligent that might topple them.
So don't assume something forever. But if you are fearful of some companies at the moment, try to be part of it.

For these 3 special stocks, I need a different strategy.
In terms of my portfolio, I own small portions of Apple and Tesla, but in my long term view, they are not going to be as dominating and powerful as the 3.
Actually I do not really own Tesla and Apple, I buy CFDs from IG.

I bought Tesla as there was no PE ratio (negative sales).
But I believe in Elon Musk, and I love his vision of a cleaner world (I guess there are others that may have the same thought of cleaner world as me).

Apple I bought at the time when their PE was 10.
I bought after reading an article by the Tim Cook, which talked about a new circular office, and some sustainable future thingy.

The strategy for these 3 titans will be a mixture of my currency trading days and investing.
I will use the simple resistant and support line strategy, which I was using previously.
This time, it will really be testing my emotional control skills. And this is a trading which I really believe in and understands.
It will be simple, buying them when they fall to the previous support line.
I have drawn the resistant and support lines for the 3 of them, and currently none of them seem close to their support zones yet.
Emotionally, even though I am desperate to own them, I cannot rush into it.
I need to stick to my rules and strategy.
There will always be other opportunities to focus on, such as a better job or other stocks, as the world cannot rely on them only.
I may have to wait months, or many months, to be able to start accumulating them.
But for now, I just have to carry on doing other things. And meditate or something.