Saturday, June 29, 2013

Equity:1,013.34 - 1 min charts

Further to below post, I will be adding 1 min candlesticks chart. I want to see if the Bread N Butter strategy can work on faster candlesticks. The time span of the graphs is around 4 hours (17:00 - 21:00)








Friday, June 28, 2013

Equity:1,013.34 - Studying time

Below are some charts which I will scrutinizing over the weekend, to review my trading during weekdays. I put it out here is so that I have easier access to viewing them. That is one good thing about having a blog too.

The charts are 5 min candlesticks of various currencies, which spans around 20 hours. From the look of it, the Bread N Butter strategy should really work on these graphs, and all graphs. But I guess there are a few things about my strategy that I need to tweak.







Equity:1,013.34 - Job resume

Good morning. I just had my funds come in, S$1000. But I lost around $80 the last 2 days, seems like things are not easy as I thought. I will be studying Forex again this weekend since trading is not opened.

Anyway on another topic, I just had a phone training about my job resume. I signed up for it through Jobscentral, a job agency. It is supposed to help me with my resume, since I have sent out many and receive nothing in reply. Although I am expecting to hear many things that I already read on the internet, but unexpectedly there are also other things I learnt.

  • Firstly he pointed out on my short objective, which is on top of my resume. It should not be so much of myself, but rather what I can do for the company.
  • My work experiences, is just like listing down my job description, which many other candidates are doing the same. He recommended that I pair up each description with an achievement. Even if there is no achievement, just write something down, haha. 
  • He also mentioned about the 'CAR' concept when writing down my experiences. Challenge, Action, Result. What is the challenge I face, what action did I take, and what is the result. 
  • He said that hiring managers do not really look so much into work experiences (!!), but what I can do for the company. 
  • I also missed out a 'Skills' section, to tell the hiring manager about my people skills. Like how I can work with the Sales team to give me their data, how I build rapport, etc. He mentioned that this section it is very important. Do not lie, as the hiring managers might ask you to quote examples during the interview. Even if you lie through the interview, in long term, there will also be consequences. Maybe just say that you are willing to learn or have positive learning altitude if you really dislike socializing.
  • Around 20% of available jobs come from job agencies and job websites. The other chunk comes from networking. There is social networking like Linkedin and networking with friends and family. Spending more time on networking produces the best results (20/80 principle). 
  • The reason for the above is that when a big company is hiring, they will usually ask internally if anyone wants a transfer or if anyone has a recommendation. It is only dripped down to headhunters and job websites for last resorts.
  • Headhunters have different caterers. For recruit express, it is meant for lower positions. For Morgan Mckinsley, they are more for executives.
  • One of the best thing I heard from the adviser is a story about a person that wants to work in the big 5. She went to the extend of sending slow mail to the hiring manager. The hiring manager was impressed and wanted to have coffee with her. In the end she got a job there as there was someone else leaving. She got the job even before the job vacancy was posted. Even if she does not get a job, the hiring manager would have recommended her to somewhere else.
  • This is one classic example of networking even if you do not know the person. And it is also networking at a very efficient level, because you are going directly to the person that can help you get what you want. They can use their networking and help you. Therefore, if there is a company that you are really interested to work in, you can try this strategy.
I paid S$120 for the service, and I thought that the money is not that much as knowledge is more important. The person I spoke to worked in HR for 9 years, and is now running his own business partnering other job agencies. Not sure if it can really help me in anyway, but having more knowledge is better than none. 

Have a good weekend!

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Equity:93.43 - Most traded currency pairs

Hi there! Made 3 'Bread N Butter' trades today, lost 2 and won 1.

Interesting knowledge for the day. I was trying to find out the most commonly traded currency pairs, and found this short and simple summary of it. It is taken from Investopedia, my favorite financial reference. Its like the Wikipedia of finance.






Although some retail dealers trade exotic (less popular) currencies such as the Thai baht or the Czech koruna, the majority trade the seven most traded currency pairs in the world. The four most popular, also known as "the majors" are:

EUR/USD (euro/dollar) – "euro"
USD/JPY (U.S. dollar/Japanese yen) – "gopher"
GBP/USD (British pound/dollar) - "cable"
USD/CHF (U.S. dollar/Swiss franc) – "swissie"

The three less popular commodity pairs are:

AUD/USD (Australian dollar/U.S. dollar) – "aussie"
USD/CAD (U.S. dollar/Canadian dollar) – "loonie"
NZD/USD (New Zealand dollar/U.S. dollar) – "kiwi"

These currency pairs, along with their various combinations (such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY and EUR/GBP) account for more than 95% of all speculative trading in FX. Given the small number of possible trades - only 18 pairs are actively traded - the FX market is much less broad than the stock market. 

From : http://www.investopedia.com/walkthrough/forex/getting-started/pairs.aspx

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Equity:92.45 - The week is still long

It is only Tuesday, and it is so difficult to pass time at my work. That is why I have this extra drive to want to be successful at trading, and I can choose to do what I want to do. Currently I am still working what I am working because it is a better path in terms of money.

I am still trying around with the Bread n Butter strategy the library book taught. And the results look pretty ok. At least It does not cause me to lose a lot, and as compared to my trading in the past, this one seems more promising.

Certain pointers to remember tomorrow and beyond.


  • Place the limit stop at least 2 times as much as the stop loss gap.


LoL,  forgot what other things that I learnt today. Anyway, another interesting thing that the book taught was this 10-10-80 principle. It means you donate 10%, save 10%, and do whatever you want with the other 80%.

The interesting part to me is about donating the 10%. The book goes on to say how it can actually make you a better person and make the world a better place. It also cites scientific studies about it, and says how much more money you make in return. Karma you can call it, but the author is a devoted Christian.

If it true that I, 'Singapore Trader' will really make it big in Forex, I will also pledge 10% of what I earn in Forex to people that are less fortunate than me. Even before reading the book, every now and then, I sometimes give money to elder people randomly. And I know somehow, it makes me more human and feel better. I always have this mentality when donating that 'a little bit of my money, might meant a lot of money for someone else'.

So if you want to feel pretty awesome for the day, you can try just giving some your money to someone in need. You might just feel differently about yourself and the world!


Monday, June 24, 2013

Equity:93.96 - Holy Grail?

Good day, recently I borrowed a book from my town library, which is the book below. The author of the book is actually a stock exchange trader. But the author claims that the technical strategies in the book can be used for anything that uses a candlestick chart. But the conditions to use his strategies is that the trading product has to be highly volatile and liquid. Needless to say, Forex is king in terms of those conditions.


Why is my title Holy Grail? Actually I believe there is a Holy Grail in trading. And many books that are written will tell you Dream On! Including the above book. Maybe it is just my definition of a Holy Grail. In this book, the very first method that was being taught something called the 'Bread and Butter' method. It is the author's favorite method, and to him it is the most consistent one. The author gives a statistic by testing the method in real data, and the winning chance was 13/17. That is like over 75% chance of winning using the trade!

What is the method all about? Basically, you use a 20 period and 50 period SMA (Simple Moving Average). And when the 20 line crosses under the 50 line, it is a sell opportunity. (Likewise if the 20 line crosses above the 50 line, it is a buy opportunity)

Then you go on to the next condition, which is by looking at the stochastic graph below. And if the stochastic line is facing downwards and hovering around the 80% region (for sell) , you sell!

Why do I conclude it is a Holy Grail? Because, I read another Singaporean book and it recommends the same thing! It is like people that goes through the S$3000 trading courses will be taught this method! Then why do the 2 books I read mention there is no such thing as a holy grail? Most of them have good intentions to say that, because they want to emphasize more on your money management skills, and not get complacent.

But to me, it is still a Holy Grail. Because when a Holy Grail is presented to you, it is still up to you to do whatever you want to it! You may use the cup as a mug for brushing teeth. You may find it so beautiful that you store it in your cabinet for display. You may even melt the cup for its precious metal. And to me, what you do with it is actually your money management skills.

Just like any Tom, Dick and Harry who gets excited and thinks he has found the Holy Grail, I will be depositing another S$1000 into my account. I hope this is a turning point in my Forex journey, and aim to hit S$100,000 in my account ASAP. It is because the author of the book mentions that only when you hit a 6 figure amount, then you can consider becoming a full-time trader. And that means not waking up every bloody morning at 6:30am for me!


Thursday, June 20, 2013

Equity:78.17 - Sometimes there is only so much we can do. But every time, we can choose to be humble.

I did not place any trades today, as I do not see any opportunity technically. Today's haze reached another record high, at PSI 371. Today also made me feel however many rich people we have in Singapore, as a nation, we still have to be humble especially to more powerful nations.

I felt that my government really put in a lot of effort trying to balance between maintaining a good relationship with our neighbors, and also pleasing the people within the country. Many citizens, especially the young ones, just lash out at the government for whatever crisis that happens. It is even more sad nowadays when anyone can just message the ministers in Facebook, without a need to show some respect. I am not a pro-government supporter, and in the elections, opposition parties were heroes in my eyes. But sometimes I feel that, the controlling government might not have an as bad intention that many makes out of it.

Today, I felt empathy for our foreign minister, having to tolerate the abuse of local online citizens, as well as having to smile at the Indonesian ministers to help solve the problems together. It feels a little like a father, who's child keeps complaining about the loud noises the neighbor makes. The neighbor is someone strong and powerful, and all the father can do is to try a soft way to negotiate with the neighbor, so as to bring peace for the child.

I feel all this emotions today after I read how powerful figures in a bigger country than ours can make statements without considering how the people and the leaders of the smaller nation might feel ( you can read the link below). It is really a sad reality that, sometimes there are just more powerful forces out there that you cannot do anything about, no matter how hard you try. We are a small nation with just so limited resources. The only way we survive is by being realistic, and look forward to the solutions rather than the problems. There are just many things in life we cannot control. And it is really good to be humble.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Equity:78.05 - Haze record high

Just came back from Man of Steel, did not really enjoyed it as much I expected. Cause my expectations are too damn high! Just like the haze. I still took a romantic walk in the haze, telling my girlfriend that it is something that don't happen often. And we should dance in the haze instead.

But I did not know the haze has reached PSI 321. The highest ever in Singapore, and even higher than the one in Beijing. Well, I will just tell my kids next time we danced in PSI 321 haze before.

Anyway, as sad as the weather outside, my trade yesterday ended with a stop loss. I was closed to grabbing the winning, but stopped short abit.

Maybe one thing I can take away from the trade yesterday is to set the profit only 2 times the stop loss instead of 3 times. 

Have a good night people!

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Equity:89.33 - Singapore under haze

Hi guys, today Singapore is under haze attack from our friendly southern neighbor again, Indonesia. Our ministers have already signed many treaties to ask them to stop this illegal burning, but I guess their leaders also have a hard time implementing it to the rural assholes who started it.

The farmers wanted to clear the trees for plantation. And fire is easiest way to clear it. It is fertile for the soil too. But bloody hell, when the farmers switch on their TV, they must be laughing that Singapore and Malaysia are both engulfed in the thick smoke for the great work they have done.

The jungles of Indonesia also have an endangered species which I know of, the Orang Utan. I hope their environment is not affected.

Photo is not by me. Please give me warning to take it down first before you sue me




















Back to Forex, I bought USD to rise against CAD. This trade falls under one of my 2 criteria, the Reversal. Below are other things to take note about the trade.

  • The Profit Limit is placed 3 times more then the Stop Loss
  • The smaller the Stop Loss allowance, the more achievable the (3x) Profit Limit
  • The hourly candlestick trend crossed the 50 Period SMA (blue line)
  • This reversal is placed at a decent timing, after a red candlestick, and then bouncing up again
  • The stochastic (below candlestick graph) is pointing upwards and not in the overbought region
  • The trade, if lost, is around 5% of what I have in the beginning of the month (SGD 100).
And also note that, contrary to my previous post, I will be using Hourly instead of 5 min Candlestick chart. This is solely because for 5 mins candlesticks, whenever I placed a trade, a large amount of it will be eaten up by the commission the platform charges.


Hope the trade goes as planned. Tomorrow I will be catching Man of steel. Heard from my friend that it is awesome, and some said it can even be compared to Dark Knight. Omg. Looking forward to it, and I hope you guys enjoy it too!





Thursday, June 13, 2013

Equity:84.74 - Reversal failed


Equity reduced again today, after making 2 trades.

I was betting on a reversal in this 5 min chart. The point begins at the long Red candlestick on the right side of the chart. It cut the 50 period line (the blue line). But the reversal did not happen and it continued edging upwards.

Lesson to take away today :

  • I planned to enter the trade after seeing some green candlesticks again.
  • But I should have waited for a completed Red candlestick (full 5 mins) first before entering to sell.
  • I entered the trade 2 times when the candlestick dipped, but have not completed the 5 mins period.
Forex aside, today Perth Mint announced they will be selling Doctor Who coins starting from 17 Jun. Too bad I have not seen the series before. If it was for the Simpsons or How I met your mother, I will definitely buy a bulk of it. For Doctor Who fans out there, you might be interested! Silver might appreciate in future, and the package and design of the coin is salivating!


You can click on the link below if you are interested!

Anyway I am not affiliated to the mint, and currently too unknown to earn any commissions.



Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Equity:95.74

Just came back from watching 'Hangover 3'. Enjoyed it more than I thought, as my expectation for the movie was lowered by the ratings of IMDB.

I was choosing between watching 'Gatsby' or 'Hangover', but chose the latter because I heard Gatsby is quite a complicated movie to understand. I don't want to use my brain anymore after work.

My favorite parts of the movie is the Fat Jesus. Its hard to describe him, hahaha. But the closest words I can think of about him is 'Fucking Lame'. He just does the most unimportant things in the most important times. LOL. The movie will suck without him.

Anyway, where is the Forex talk? I felt that if this blog contains only graphs and talks about Forex, it will feel like an office. My idea of this blog is still like an office, but an office with plant and flower pots in it. It is kind of boring with only words and charts. So, for tonight, Fat Jesus gonna be my plant for this entry :D

Now this blog looks more awesome














Anyway again, I still have not traded for many days. And after many thoughts, I decided I should start trading with 5 min candles using the same breakout and reversal logics. The reason is because if I waited for opportunities in daily candlesticks, it will take a long time for me to trade. And it will take a longer time to test out my theories.

Tonight I am home later, and I do not have much time to monitor the 5 min candlesticks. Hopefully tomorrow the trades will flow, and we will see some movements in my current account.

Also from now on, I will just copy the Equity from my trading platform and paste it in the title, rather than manually typing it out. And I have no idea why the equity changed again from last night ?_?

Good night people, 'Superman' is screening tomorrow. Hope you enjoy the current wide selection of movies :)

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

S$98.88 - no activity day


Good day~ the above is how much I have left. It changed a little from my previous post after some re-adjustment from my unrealized P/L. And I have no idea why too lol. But I bothered to talk about it because the number is nice. 9-huat-huat-huat!
(Huat means prosperity)

Today is a boring day, needless to say in terms of my work, and also for the currency market. Not very volatile, but I am waiting for something that might be developing. See the graph below.


From the simple chart above, I am waiting on the reversal of the upward trend. In idiot terms, I am betting on the trend going downwards after sloping up for so long.

It has already cut the 50 period SMA line (the blue smooth line) already, which might be an indication of a reversal. But the point I will enter the trade is when the last candle stick turns green again.

After losing most of the S$650 which I invested in the forex account, the only 2 methods which gave me real results is actually betting on reversals (such as the above) and betting when there is a break through. I will talk about break through when there is a very classic example that develops in the future.

For now, this USD/JPY trade is really setting up to be a very nice reversal example. No one can predict how the trend will go, and the above being said might not happen. But what separates the winners from losers is that when a prediction really comes through, you have to really profit from it. If it doesn't comes through, just stop your losses and wait for another time. Sooner or later the fish will bite the bait. You have to be prepared for the fish fight when the time comes.

Stay tuned to see how the trend develops the next few days.

:)

Thursday, June 6, 2013

S$99.56

This is the first time my trading platform, GFT, emailed me saying that my remaining equity has reached 75%.

I don't really know what it means, I only know it sounds like I will be bankrupted soon. I knew throughout the day, that USD hadn't been doing too well, and stock markets are taking a beating.




I reluctantly logged into my account to get a clearer idea what was going on. I saw that my available equity is bouncing between negative and positive. I closed it and to my surprised, it returned S$99.56 to my account! I thought that when I closed my last trade, my account will be left with around zero, and I was ready to pump in another 1k into it. But now, I am fine!

  • This few weeks, what I learnt is that technical analysis is still a better way of determining how I should trade. I was trading on the news the past few weeks. Weird thing is, even if you guessed the news correctly, you still might not be able to know where the crazy currency world might be heading.


  • Another thing I must do now and in future is to really stick to a trade size discipline. I should restrict each trade to lose a maximum of 5%-10% of my total available equity. I only have around S$100 left, and it is the only consistent way to fight my way out of my losses.


  • Last thing I learnt is that, I should place a more narrow stop-loss / trade price. This is so that I can exit trades earlier, and at the same time I profit more from a smaller stop loss. 

For now, my feelings are jubilant, and the video below describes my mood :)

Live today, fight another day~







Tuesday, June 4, 2013

S$180

Just came back from work, and as usual, it sucks lol.

Anyway, my AUD/USD closed out. I was trying to decipher how much I lost in that bet, but could not get it.


My other USD/JPY trade is still ongoing. From the chart below, it looks promising.
  • Stochastic has reached the bottom and it looks like it's pointing upwards.
  • From the candlesticks, it seems to be going through a cycle of leap and bounce. As you can see, it looks ready to bounce up again away from the 50 period line.


To infinity and beyond!