Friday, February 21, 2020

Army and re-evaluation

Past week was at in camp training
It will be quite sad as it will be the last time
People that you knew during the past 13 years will not be obligated to meet again
Learnt a lot from the people and my time there
Realized that almost all of them do not invest
Even though they like the idea
But mainly it was because they did not have the interest
to understand companies and investing
I felt that I am quite fortunate
I had the interest, and had less obligations, and also had some prudence
many also had to support their parents

was also looking at my portfolio
and trying to find some direction
I took the top down approach

My account had expanded, from the time I invested 40k SGD into the account
Today it is worth 46k USD
During this time of expansion, I thought that I should have around 20k USD of cash
To feed my warchest
Currently my cash is around 14k USD (below)
So I need around to liquidated around 6k USD of shares




The next step will be to look at the breakdown of my portfolio.
Which of the shares do I want to reduce or sell off?
Some of the consideration include :
Are they around the highest resistance zone?
And which are the stocks I really love and want to hold some of it?
What is their PE?
Proportion of value in portfolio


Amazon is a stay, as I only have 1 of it.
Their blue origin business also looks nice, even though it looks like a penis.
Philosophy is clear and simple too.
But it might not be part of the company

Selling of shares is not an easy question to answer
But it should be asked,
as this account should serve a bigger picture
to deflate the account when it is on the high
if not, when the market slides, it will be late
better to deflate a portion of it first

after some pondering about which holdings to reduce or sell
firstly is Apple, all 3 of them
starting to dislike them
and they do not seem to have very huge innovation
and they have been on a rally for quite long
reaching PE of 25

Also might sell another 2 Tesla
and 6 shares of Facebook (PE of 33)
For baba (PE of 25) and Tencent, might want to keep them
to ride on China's rise

Google is my favorite stock, might want to keep all 5
their PE is at 30 now
But if their price rises to another level, might let go of another 1

For Baidu, their revenue and profits are still growing YOY
and they have dropped to around half of what I paid for
Will hold them as selling them will not make much difference in my account

For Zillow, might want to sell 10 of it, as it is now at the highest resistance level

But all these above might not be able to give me 20k of USD cash
But it is good that I set a target of 20k USD
And might make different decisions along the way
More importantly is to have a target.

On another note, found out that one of my platoon mate is making money full-time from Forex trading
Very interesting as I finally know someone that proved that it can work
Might be exploring the idea again

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